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Canadiens try to get on a roll at home versus Sabres

Hockey Betting Lines

12/20/2008 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Canadiens always try to make the Bell Centre a tough place to play at for their opponents, but that hasn't been the case as of late. Montreal will try to build off its most recent home win when it hosts the Buffalo Sabres tonight.

Montreal is an excellent 10-4-3 as the host them this year, but endured a bit of a rough patch on a recent franchise-long homestand. The Canadiens won the first three games of that stand, but closed it by going 1-2-1 and netted just one goal a game in each of the three losses.

That slide carried over into a road game versus Carolina, a 3-2 setback, but Montreal returned to the Bell Centre on Monday to begin a three-game homestand and knocked off the Philadelphia Flyers, 5-2.

Sergei Kostitsyn, Steve Begin and Guillaume Latendresse each posted a goal and an assist, while Alex Kovalev's goal marked his 900th career point. Matt D'Agostini also scored and Robert Lang donated two assists.

Defenseman Mike Komisarek returned from a 16-game absence due to a shoulder injury and notched an assist to help the Habs halt their three-game losing streak.

Montreal hopes that Kovalev can build on his milestone, as he has just seven goals and 17 assists in 31 games this year after posting 35 goals and 49 assists in 82 games a season ago. He has 24 tallies and 24 helpers in 71 career games versus Buffalo.

Jaroslav Halak made 29 saves and had been in net for each game of the Canadiens' recent skid, as Carey Price remains sidelined due to a lower-body injury that followed a bout with the flu. Price is day-to-day.

Halak won his only other career start versus Buffalo, making 22 saves in the win.

The Sabres, who have won three straight on the road, blanked the Los Angeles Kings in Buffalo by a 5-0 count on Friday. Ryan Miller recorded his third shutout of the season and 10th of his career by making 40 saves.

Derek Roy had a goal and two assists to give him four goals and eight helpers on an eight-game point streak, while Drew Stafford notched a goal and an assist. Adam Mair, Clarke MacArthur and Matt Ellis added goals for Buffalo, which has won two of three and five of its last seven games.

The NHL's leading goal scorer with 24, Thomas Vanek was held without a goal for a second straight game, but did have an assist. He has three goals in two games versus Montreal this year and 10 in his 26 all-time games against the club.

Buffalo is 7-5-2 on the road this season.

The Sabres and Canadiens have split two games this year, with both teams winning once on home ice. Montreal has won four of the last five in the series in addition to two straight and six of the last seven as the host.


<< Top-25 foes meet at FedExForum
Memphis, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A top-25 showdown takes place in Memphis this evening, as the 11th-ranked Syracuse Orange come calling on the 23rd-ranked Memphis Tigers. The Orange come into the game with a stellar 10-1 record, although their

<< Fourth-ranked Sooners meet Rams in Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City, OK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The fourth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners will attempt to avoid an upset tonight as they take on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams in All-College Classic action from Oklahoma City's Ford Center. VCU split its first

<< No. 21 Baylor entertains Texas-Arlington
Waco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 21st-ranked Baylor Bears and the Texas- Arlington Mavericks will collide tonight in a non-conference clash at the Ferrell Center in Waco. Texas-Arlington is 3-47 all-time against Big 12 opponents, not exactly

<< Boilermakers and Wildcats mix it up in Indy
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ranked foes will collide at Conseco Fieldhouse in Indianapolis this afternoon, as the 13th-ranked Purdue Boilermakers take on the 22nd-ranked Davidson Wildcats in the Wooden Tradition. Purdue opened the s

<< No. 15 Georgetown hosts Mount St. Mary's
Washington, D.C. (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 15th-ranked Georgetown Hoyas have a chance to improve their already impressive record today as they host Mount St. Mary's in non-league action. The Mount is 0-8 all-time against the Big East Conference

Eriksson leads Dallas into Ottawa >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In a season filled with losses and injuries, Loui Eriksson is providing the Stars with a little bit of excitement. The 23-year-old will try to light the lamp for a third straight game tonight in Dallas' road matchup with the

Penguins play host to Maple Leafs >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Penguins will try to post consecutive victories for the first time in over a month when they host the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight at Mellon Arena. The Penguins have won two of their last three games and rebo

Thrashers take on Lightning in matchup of struggling clubs >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The bottom two teams in the Southeast Division will meet tonight in Atlanta, as the Thrashers host the Tampa Bay Lightning at Philips Arena. The Lightning are tied with the New York Islanders for last in the NHL with just

Islanders try again for first win in December versus Preds >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Islanders still haven't won a game in December, something they will try to fix tonight in a road test versus the Nashville Predators at the Sommet Center. New York has gone 0-7-1 since defeating Ottawa to clos

Iowa State names Rhoads new head football coach >>
Ames, IA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Paul Rhoads was named the new head football coach at Iowa State on Saturday morning, an ironic twist in the Iowa State-Auburn coaching connection in the past week. A 6:00 p.m. (et) news conference is schedul

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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