Tigers hope to stop road skid in clash with Red Sox
Baseball Betting Lines
07/30/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Tigers are quickly falling out of contention in
the American League Central. Tonight, they try to put the brakes on their 10-
game road losing streak when they open a three-game series against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.
Detroit started its seven-game road trip in disappointing fashion, as it was
swept in a four-game set by the Tampa Bay Rays. The Tigers have now lost six
of their last seven and have fallen six games back of the Chicago White Sox in
the division.
"We got three out of four really good starts here," Tigers manager Jim Leyland
said. "That's what you're looking for, some silver lining, but we obviously
have to get more offense."
The 10-game road slide is now just three shy of the franchise-record 13-game
drought set back in 1902. A trip to Boston could add to the misery, as the
Tigers have lost 22 of their last 30 at Fenway.
Hoping to buck that trend for the Tigers tonight will be righty Armando
Galarraga, who is 3-3 with a 4.43 earned run average. Galarraga did not get a
decision on Sunday against Toronto, as he allowed three runs and six hits in
seven innings of his team's 5-3 loss.
Galarraga, who will be making his first-ever start at Fenway, beat the Red Sox
the last time he faced them and is 1-1 in three starts against them with a
4.50 ERA.
Boston, meanwhile, is at the other end of the spectrum, entering this series
on the heels of a three-game sweep over the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim that
culminated with a 7-3 win at Angel Stadium.
Marco Scutaro's eighth-inning grand slam was the difference, while Josh
Beckett (2-1) went seven innings in the start and was charged with three runs
on five hits with a walk and five strikeouts.
"I had to manifest some energy today," said Beckett. "I felt better today than
last time out. I did some good things and made some good adjustments. The most
important thing is for our team to win now."
Boston has won five of its last seven.
Heading to the hill for the Red Sox this evening will be lefty Jon Lester, who
is 11-5 with a 2.92 ERA, but has lost his last two starts.
Lester was perfect for 5 1/3 frames on Saturday in Seattle before Eric
Patterson dropped a fly ball in center field. Lester then served up a two-run
homer and he lost his perfect game, his shutout and the game all in short
order.
He was charged with five runs (four earned) and four hits in 7 2/3 innings,
while striking out 13 batters, absorbing the loss nonetheless.
"That's as good as stuff as we've seen all year," said Red Sox manager Terry
Francona of Lester's start. "The outcome is a shame. He pitched better than
the linescore will show, for sure. He had a perfect game going for half the
game. Then we drop a fly ball and then he hung a breaking ball -- probably the
first bad pitch he threw all night."
The last time Lester lost two in a row was in April, and he responded with
eight consecutive wins over his next 11 starts.
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NFL Football Betting Online
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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